It's almost that time of year again. The time of year where everyone starts to complain that the college football playoff committee is terrible and the playoffs should be more than four teams. Which is true but that's neither here nor there. Every fanbase is currently trying to decide what exactly needs to happen for their team to make the playoffs. I'm going to use the online playoff prediction tool from FiveThirtyEight to give a couple scenarios of how the playoffs could end up.
Ohio State
Ohio State currently has three games left on their regular season. They play Michigan State, Maryland, and that team up north. If Ohio State can win out their regular season, then there is a 100% chance they will win the conference and a 91% chance they will make it to the playoffs.
UCF
The University of Central Florida is a team that is begging to be talked about. They have never made it to the playoffs even though they have a 19-7 record since 2016. This year we are looking at the same situation as previous. If UCF wins out and has a perfect record in the regular season, they have a 100% chance of winning their conference and only a 10% chance of making the playoffs. The reason they have such a low chance of making playoffs is their strength of schedule. They have the 107th hardest schedule in college football, meaning 106 teams have a harder schedule than them. I would suggest that UCF schedules some harder games in the future if they wish to make playoffs.
WVU
West Virginia has been on the edge of making the college football playoffs for a couple of years now. They have shown signs of greatness in the past but they are actually making a case for themselves this year. WVU is sitting at 7-1 with their only loss to Iowa State. Although they have a very average strength of schedule, they will have only played two ranked teams at the end of the season. They just topped number seventeen Texas this past week and are looking at playing number six ranked Oklahoma in a couple weeks. If the Mountaineers can win out, they have a 100% chance of winning their conference and a 77% chance of making playoffs.
I encourage you to click the link to the playoff tool and mess around! Let me know if your team has a chance!
Ohio State
Ohio State currently has three games left on their regular season. They play Michigan State, Maryland, and that team up north. If Ohio State can win out their regular season, then there is a 100% chance they will win the conference and a 91% chance they will make it to the playoffs.
UCF
The University of Central Florida is a team that is begging to be talked about. They have never made it to the playoffs even though they have a 19-7 record since 2016. This year we are looking at the same situation as previous. If UCF wins out and has a perfect record in the regular season, they have a 100% chance of winning their conference and only a 10% chance of making the playoffs. The reason they have such a low chance of making playoffs is their strength of schedule. They have the 107th hardest schedule in college football, meaning 106 teams have a harder schedule than them. I would suggest that UCF schedules some harder games in the future if they wish to make playoffs.
WVU
West Virginia has been on the edge of making the college football playoffs for a couple of years now. They have shown signs of greatness in the past but they are actually making a case for themselves this year. WVU is sitting at 7-1 with their only loss to Iowa State. Although they have a very average strength of schedule, they will have only played two ranked teams at the end of the season. They just topped number seventeen Texas this past week and are looking at playing number six ranked Oklahoma in a couple weeks. If the Mountaineers can win out, they have a 100% chance of winning their conference and a 77% chance of making playoffs.
I encourage you to click the link to the playoff tool and mess around! Let me know if your team has a chance!
My Kansas Jayhawks are not good at football, but when it comes to basketball, we are #1.
ReplyDeleteThis was a good read but really only one team matters, O-H !!
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